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Informational only — not betting advice.
PL·Premier League

Sunderland vs Arsenal

Sunderland

vs

Arsenal

Sat, 12 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

0–2

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZSat, 05 Sep 2026 22:25:26 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260907T081204ZMon, 07 Sep 2026 22:25:32 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 22:23:54 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
12%
Draw
26%
Away
62%

Picked Away · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

65%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

46%

No

54%

Picked No · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #10-119%
  2. #20-215%
  3. #30-013%
Score probability field for Sunderland versus Arsenal

Picked 0-1 · Actual 0-2

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Sunderland

Last 5 overall

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Home split

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 0.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

99 of 225

Defence rank

20 of 225

Model reference group: PL

Away team

Arsenal

Last 5 overall

4W · 0D · 1L

5 matches · 2.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Away split

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

8 of 225

Defence rank

7 of 225

Model reference group: PL