Transparency

Track record

Every published prediction is recorded under the model version that made it. Live results are kept separate — never merged with development runs or backtests.

Settled · Public permanently · Never edited

Live results now lead this page. The registered backtest remains below as a fixed historical reference.

Issued prediction record

Overall hit rate

WinSight DC 1.2

Current live model · Continuously improving

dc-1.2-r20260907T081204Z

Match result (1X2)

29/63

46.0%

29 wins · 34 losses · n=63

Fewer than 100 settled matches — not enough evidence yet.

Goals over/under 2.5

63.5%

40 wins · 23 losses · n=63

Both teams score (BTTS)

73.0%

46 wins · 17 losses · n=63

Correct score

15.9%

10 wins · 53 losses · n=63

UTC week × league

Weekly detail

Each row covers the full UTC week. Only predictions issued by this exact model version are included; other matches from the same week may appear under another version.

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Bundesliga (BL1)

Match result (1X2)
28.6%Wins 2 · Losses 5n=7 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
57.1%Wins 4 · Losses 3n=7 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
85.7%Wins 6 · Losses 1n=7 · 0 void
Correct score
14.3%Wins 1 · Losses 6n=7 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Champions League (CL)

Match result (1X2)
85.7%Wins 12 · Losses 2n=14 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
85.7%Wins 12 · Losses 2n=14 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
78.6%Wins 11 · Losses 3n=14 · 0 void
Correct score
21.4%Wins 3 · Losses 11n=14 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Championship (ELC)

Match result (1X2)
40.0%Wins 8 · Losses 12n=20 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
60.0%Wins 12 · Losses 8n=20 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
70.0%Wins 14 · Losses 6n=20 · 0 void
Correct score
15.0%Wins 3 · Losses 17n=20 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Ligue 1 (FL1)

Match result (1X2)
33.3%Wins 2 · Losses 4n=6 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
33.3%Wins 2 · Losses 4n=6 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
50.0%Wins 3 · Losses 3n=6 · 0 void
Correct score
16.7%Wins 1 · Losses 5n=6 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
60.0%Wins 3 · Losses 2n=5 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
80.0%Wins 4 · Losses 1n=5 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
60.0%Wins 3 · Losses 2n=5 · 0 void
Correct score
20.0%Wins 1 · Losses 4n=5 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Premier League (PL)

Match result (1X2)
14.3%Wins 1 · Losses 6n=7 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
71.4%Wins 5 · Losses 2n=7 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
71.4%Wins 5 · Losses 2n=7 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 7n=7 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Serie A (SA)

Match result (1X2)
25.0%Wins 1 · Losses 3n=4 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
25.0%Wins 1 · Losses 3n=4 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
100.0%Wins 4 · Losses 0n=4 · 0 void
Correct score
25.0%Wins 1 · Losses 3n=4 · 0 void

Issued prediction record

Overall hit rate

WinSight DC 1.2

dc-1.2-r20260831T093750Z

Match result (1X2)

47.1%

64 wins · 72 losses · n=136

Goals over/under 2.5

55.9%

76 wins · 60 losses · n=136

Both teams score (BTTS)

66.2%

90 wins · 46 losses · n=136

Correct score

12.5%

17 wins · 119 losses · n=136

UTC week × league

Weekly detail

Each row covers the full UTC week. Only predictions issued by this exact model version are included; other matches from the same week may appear under another version.

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Bundesliga (BL1)

Match result (1X2)
28.6%Wins 2 · Losses 5n=7 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
57.1%Wins 4 · Losses 3n=7 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
85.7%Wins 6 · Losses 1n=7 · 0 void
Correct score
14.3%Wins 1 · Losses 6n=7 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Champions League (CL)

Match result (1X2)
85.7%Wins 12 · Losses 2n=14 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
85.7%Wins 12 · Losses 2n=14 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
78.6%Wins 11 · Losses 3n=14 · 0 void
Correct score
21.4%Wins 3 · Losses 11n=14 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Championship (ELC)

Match result (1X2)
50.0%Wins 10 · Losses 10n=20 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
50.0%Wins 10 · Losses 10n=20 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
70.0%Wins 14 · Losses 6n=20 · 0 void
Correct score
15.0%Wins 3 · Losses 17n=20 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Ligue 1 (FL1)

Match result (1X2)
33.3%Wins 2 · Losses 4n=6 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
33.3%Wins 2 · Losses 4n=6 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
50.0%Wins 3 · Losses 3n=6 · 0 void
Correct score
16.7%Wins 1 · Losses 5n=6 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
42.9%Wins 3 · Losses 4n=7 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
71.4%Wins 5 · Losses 2n=7 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
57.1%Wins 4 · Losses 3n=7 · 0 void
Correct score
14.3%Wins 1 · Losses 6n=7 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Premier League (PL)

Match result (1X2)
14.3%Wins 1 · Losses 6n=7 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
85.7%Wins 6 · Losses 1n=7 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
71.4%Wins 5 · Losses 2n=7 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 7n=7 · 0 void

Week of Sep 7, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

Serie A (SA)

Match result (1X2)
50.0%Wins 3 · Losses 3n=6 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
50.0%Wins 3 · Losses 3n=6 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
100.0%Wins 6 · Losses 0n=6 · 0 void
Correct score
16.7%Wins 1 · Losses 5n=6 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Bundesliga (BL1)

Match result (1X2)
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
77.8%Wins 7 · Losses 2n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 9n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Championship (ELC)

Match result (1X2)
50.0%Wins 12 · Losses 12n=24 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
45.8%Wins 11 · Losses 13n=24 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
50.0%Wins 12 · Losses 12n=24 · 0 void
Correct score
12.5%Wins 3 · Losses 21n=24 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Ligue 1 (FL1)

Match result (1X2)
44.4%Wins 4 · Losses 5n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
77.8%Wins 7 · Losses 2n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
11.1%Wins 1 · Losses 8n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
33.3%Wins 3 · Losses 6n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
44.4%Wins 4 · Losses 5n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
11.1%Wins 1 · Losses 8n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Premier League (PL)

Match result (1X2)
30.0%Wins 3 · Losses 7n=10 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
30.0%Wins 3 · Losses 7n=10 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
60.0%Wins 6 · Losses 4n=10 · 0 void
Correct score
10.0%Wins 1 · Losses 9n=10 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Serie A (SA)

Match result (1X2)
50.0%Wins 4 · Losses 4n=8 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
37.5%Wins 3 · Losses 5n=8 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
87.5%Wins 7 · Losses 1n=8 · 0 void
Correct score
12.5%Wins 1 · Losses 7n=8 · 0 void

Issued prediction record

Overall hit rate

WinSight DC 1.2

dc-1.2-r20260828T173552Z

Match result (1X2)

49.2%

63 wins · 65 losses · n=128

Goals over/under 2.5

53.1%

68 wins · 60 losses · n=128

Both teams score (BTTS)

60.9%

78 wins · 50 losses · n=128

Correct score

10.9%

14 wins · 114 losses · n=128

UTC week × league

Weekly detail

Each row covers the full UTC week. Only predictions issued by this exact model version are included; other matches from the same week may appear under another version.

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Bundesliga (BL1)

Match result (1X2)
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
66.7%Wins 6 · Losses 3n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 9n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Championship (ELC)

Match result (1X2)
50.0%Wins 12 · Losses 12n=24 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
45.8%Wins 11 · Losses 13n=24 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
50.0%Wins 12 · Losses 12n=24 · 0 void
Correct score
12.5%Wins 3 · Losses 21n=24 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Ligue 1 (FL1)

Match result (1X2)
44.4%Wins 4 · Losses 5n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
77.8%Wins 7 · Losses 2n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
11.1%Wins 1 · Losses 8n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
45.5%Wins 5 · Losses 6n=11 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
63.6%Wins 7 · Losses 4n=11 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
45.5%Wins 5 · Losses 6n=11 · 0 void
Correct score
9.1%Wins 1 · Losses 10n=11 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Premier League (PL)

Match result (1X2)
36.4%Wins 4 · Losses 7n=11 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
36.4%Wins 4 · Losses 7n=11 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
54.5%Wins 6 · Losses 5n=11 · 0 void
Correct score
18.2%Wins 2 · Losses 9n=11 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Serie A (SA)

Match result (1X2)
60.0%Wins 6 · Losses 4n=10 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
40.0%Wins 4 · Losses 6n=10 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
70.0%Wins 7 · Losses 3n=10 · 0 void
Correct score
10.0%Wins 1 · Losses 9n=10 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

Bundesliga (BL1)

Match result (1X2)
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
77.8%Wins 7 · Losses 2n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
11.1%Wins 1 · Losses 8n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

Championship (ELC)

Match result (1X2)
50.0%Wins 6 · Losses 6n=12 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
41.7%Wins 5 · Losses 7n=12 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
75.0%Wins 9 · Losses 3n=12 · 0 void
Correct score
8.3%Wins 1 · Losses 11n=12 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

Ligue 1 (FL1)

Match result (1X2)
33.3%Wins 3 · Losses 6n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
44.4%Wins 4 · Losses 5n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
66.7%Wins 6 · Losses 3n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 9n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
42.9%Wins 3 · Losses 4n=7 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
71.4%Wins 5 · Losses 2n=7 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
71.4%Wins 5 · Losses 2n=7 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 7n=7 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

Premier League (PL)

Match result (1X2)
44.4%Wins 4 · Losses 5n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
66.7%Wins 6 · Losses 3n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
66.7%Wins 6 · Losses 3n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
22.2%Wins 2 · Losses 7n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

Serie A (SA)

Match result (1X2)
75.0%Wins 6 · Losses 2n=8 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
50.0%Wins 4 · Losses 4n=8 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
62.5%Wins 5 · Losses 3n=8 · 0 void
Correct score
25.0%Wins 2 · Losses 6n=8 · 0 void

Issued prediction record

Overall hit rate

WinSight DC 1.2

dc-1.2-r20260810T042826Z

Match result (1X2)

51.0%

75 wins · 72 losses · n=147

Goals over/under 2.5

57.1%

84 wins · 63 losses · n=147

Both teams score (BTTS)

59.9%

88 wins · 59 losses · n=147

Correct score

10.9%

16 wins · 131 losses · n=147

UTC week × league

Weekly detail

Each row covers the full UTC week. Only predictions issued by this exact model version are included; other matches from the same week may appear under another version.

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Championship (ELC)

Match result (1X2)
41.7%Wins 5 · Losses 7n=12 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
75.0%Wins 9 · Losses 3n=12 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
50.0%Wins 6 · Losses 6n=12 · 0 void
Correct score
16.7%Wins 2 · Losses 10n=12 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Ligue 1 (FL1)

Match result (1X2)
100.0%Wins 1 · Losses 0n=1 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
100.0%Wins 1 · Losses 0n=1 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 1n=1 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 1n=1 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
66.7%Wins 2 · Losses 1n=3 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
66.7%Wins 2 · Losses 1n=3 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
66.7%Wins 2 · Losses 1n=3 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 3n=3 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Premier League (PL)

Match result (1X2)
100.0%Wins 1 · Losses 0n=1 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
100.0%Wins 1 · Losses 0n=1 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 1n=1 · 0 void
Correct score
100.0%Wins 1 · Losses 0n=1 · 0 void

Week of Aug 31, 2026 – Sep 6, 2026

Serie A (SA)

Match result (1X2)
100.0%Wins 2 · Losses 0n=2 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
50.0%Wins 1 · Losses 1n=2 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
50.0%Wins 1 · Losses 1n=2 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 2n=2 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

Bundesliga (BL1)

Match result (1X2)
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
77.8%Wins 7 · Losses 2n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
11.1%Wins 1 · Losses 8n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

Championship (ELC)

Match result (1X2)
50.0%Wins 6 · Losses 6n=12 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
50.0%Wins 6 · Losses 6n=12 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
75.0%Wins 9 · Losses 3n=12 · 0 void
Correct score
8.3%Wins 1 · Losses 11n=12 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

Ligue 1 (FL1)

Match result (1X2)
33.3%Wins 3 · Losses 6n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
66.7%Wins 6 · Losses 3n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
66.7%Wins 6 · Losses 3n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 9n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
50.0%Wins 7 · Losses 7n=14 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
57.1%Wins 8 · Losses 6n=14 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
50.0%Wins 7 · Losses 7n=14 · 0 void
Correct score
7.1%Wins 1 · Losses 13n=14 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

Premier League (PL)

Match result (1X2)
60.0%Wins 6 · Losses 4n=10 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
70.0%Wins 7 · Losses 3n=10 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
70.0%Wins 7 · Losses 3n=10 · 0 void
Correct score
20.0%Wins 2 · Losses 8n=10 · 0 void

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

Serie A (SA)

Match result (1X2)
80.0%Wins 8 · Losses 2n=10 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
50.0%Wins 5 · Losses 5n=10 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
50.0%Wins 5 · Losses 5n=10 · 0 void
Correct score
20.0%Wins 2 · Losses 8n=10 · 0 void

Week of Aug 17, 2026 – Aug 23, 2026

Championship (ELC)

Match result (1X2)
23.1%Wins 3 · Losses 10n=13 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
7.7%Wins 1 · Losses 12n=13 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
76.9%Wins 10 · Losses 3n=13 · 0 void
Correct score
15.4%Wins 2 · Losses 11n=13 · 0 void

Week of Aug 17, 2026 – Aug 23, 2026

Ligue 1 (FL1)

Match result (1X2)
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
44.4%Wins 4 · Losses 5n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
44.4%Wins 4 · Losses 5n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 9n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 17, 2026 – Aug 23, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
50.0%Wins 5 · Losses 5n=10 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
70.0%Wins 7 · Losses 3n=10 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
50.0%Wins 5 · Losses 5n=10 · 0 void
Correct score
20.0%Wins 2 · Losses 8n=10 · 0 void

Week of Aug 17, 2026 – Aug 23, 2026

Premier League (PL)

Match result (1X2)
55.6%Wins 5 · Losses 4n=9 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
66.7%Wins 6 · Losses 3n=9 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
44.4%Wins 4 · Losses 5n=9 · 0 void
Correct score
11.1%Wins 1 · Losses 8n=9 · 0 void

Week of Aug 17, 2026 – Aug 23, 2026

Serie A (SA)

Match result (1X2)
75.0%Wins 6 · Losses 2n=8 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
87.5%Wins 7 · Losses 1n=8 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
62.5%Wins 5 · Losses 3n=8 · 0 void
Correct score
12.5%Wins 1 · Losses 7n=8 · 0 void

Week of Aug 10, 2026 – Aug 16, 2026

Championship (ELC)

Match result (1X2)
18.2%Wins 2 · Losses 9n=11 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
45.5%Wins 5 · Losses 6n=11 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
81.8%Wins 9 · Losses 2n=11 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 11n=11 · 0 void

Week of Aug 10, 2026 – Aug 16, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
75.0%Wins 3 · Losses 1n=4 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
25.0%Wins 1 · Losses 3n=4 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
75.0%Wins 3 · Losses 1n=4 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 4n=4 · 0 void

Issued prediction record

Overall hit rate

WinSight DC 1.2

dc-1.2-r20260803T062200Z

Match result (1X2)

31.3%

5 wins · 11 losses · n=16

Goals over/under 2.5

37.5%

6 wins · 10 losses · n=16

Both teams score (BTTS)

81.3%

13 wins · 3 losses · n=16

Correct score

0.0%

0 wins · 16 losses · n=16

UTC week × league

Weekly detail

Each row covers the full UTC week. Only predictions issued by this exact model version are included; other matches from the same week may appear under another version.

Week of Aug 24, 2026 – Aug 30, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 1n=1 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 1n=1 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
100.0%Wins 1 · Losses 0n=1 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 1n=1 · 0 void

Week of Aug 10, 2026 – Aug 16, 2026

Championship (ELC)

Match result (1X2)
18.2%Wins 2 · Losses 9n=11 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
45.5%Wins 5 · Losses 6n=11 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
81.8%Wins 9 · Losses 2n=11 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 11n=11 · 0 void

Week of Aug 10, 2026 – Aug 16, 2026

La Liga (PD)

Match result (1X2)
75.0%Wins 3 · Losses 1n=4 · 0 void
Goals over/under 2.5
25.0%Wins 1 · Losses 3n=4 · 0 void
Both teams score (BTTS)
75.0%Wins 3 · Losses 1n=4 · 0 void
Correct score
0.0%Wins 0 · Losses 4n=4 · 0 void

Backtest

Backtest · qualifying threshold

Historical backtest · not live performance

Current live model

dc-1.2

Unchanged between versions

1X2

Registered 1X2 record

dc-1.1

The current live model is dc-1.2. Its result, over/under and scoreline performance is inherited unchanged from the dc-1.1 qualifying threshold; dc-1.2 only adds recalibration to the BTTS probabilities. The backtest below is that qualifying threshold.

1X2 accuracy
50.54%
n=17,320
Multiclass Brier
0.6020
Log loss
1.0071
Calibration slope
0.940

Benchmarks

The same matches, measured against four benchmarks

2019/20–2025/26 · the same 16,322 matches with Bet365 closing data

Random pick of three33.3%
Always the home team43.0%
WinSight (walk-forward backtest)50.2%
Bet365 closing favourite52.4%

On the same 16,322 matches, WinSight trails Bet365 by 2.16 percentage points. Public forecasts rarely beat closing odds, and we make no such claim. These are backtest figures, not live results.

1X2 calibration curve

Historical backtest · not live performance
1X2 calibration curveObserved result frequency; Predicted probability (%).00252550507575100100
Observed result frequencyPerfect calibrationMarker area = sample size

↑ Observed more often than predicted · ↓ Observed less often than predicted

  • 0%–10% range · 1,369 outcome probabilities · predicted 6.9% · observed 9.0% · observed minus predicted +2.1 pp
  • 10%–20% range · 6,187 outcome probabilities · predicted 16.0% · observed 16.1% · observed minus predicted +0.1 pp
  • 20%–30% range · 20,610 outcome probabilities · predicted 25.5% · observed 26.1% · observed minus predicted +0.6 pp
  • 30%–40% range · 9,603 outcome probabilities · predicted 34.4% · observed 34.3% · observed minus predicted −0.1 pp
  • 40%–50% range · 6,414 outcome probabilities · predicted 44.7% · observed 43.9% · observed minus predicted −0.9 pp
  • 50%–60% range · 4,065 outcome probabilities · predicted 54.5% · observed 53.2% · observed minus predicted −1.2 pp
  • 60%–70% range · 2,177 outcome probabilities · predicted 64.5% · observed 64.4% · observed minus predicted −0.1 pp
  • 70%–80% range · 1,056 outcome probabilities · predicted 74.4% · observed 72.9% · observed minus predicted −1.5 pp
  • 80%–90% range · 406 outcome probabilities · predicted 83.8% · observed 79.8% · observed minus predicted −4.0 pp
  • 90%–100% range · 73 outcome probabilities · predicted 92.9% · observed 90.4% · observed minus predicted −2.5 pp

Predicted probability (%) →

Where the model places its probabilities

Outcome-probability samples

Historical backtest · not live performance

Across 17,320 matches, the model produced 51,960 outcome probabilities. 58.1% fall within 20%–40%; only 0.92% are 80% or higher. This shows how often the model assigns each level of confidence, not whether a prediction was correct.

  • 0%–10% probability · 1,369 probability samples
  • 10%–20% probability · 6,187 probability samples
  • 20%–30% probability · 20,610 probability samples
  • 30%–40% probability · 9,603 probability samples
  • 40%–50% probability · 6,414 probability samples
  • 50%–60% probability · 4,065 probability samples
  • 60%–70% probability · 2,177 probability samples
  • 70%–80% probability · 1,056 probability samples
  • 80%–90% probability · 406 probability samples
  • 90%–100% probability · 73 probability samples

Registered qualification record · dc-1.1

Methodology

How the record is calculated

Scoring

Each settled prediction is counted market by market. A WIN adds one hit and a LOSS adds one miss. Correct score is scored against the model's Top 1 pick, not any of its Top 3 displayed picks.

VOID handling

POSTPONED and CANCELLED fixtures are recorded as VOID. VOID rows are disclosed in sample details but excluded from both the numerator and denominator, so they cannot inflate or depress the hit rate.

Weekly cut

Weeks start Monday and follow the fixture's UTC kickoff, matching the weekly breakdown on this page. A percentage is wins ÷ (wins + losses); summaries are recomputed from counts, never by averaging weekly percentages.

Model history

Every result remains attached to the model version that produced the prediction. Versions are reported as separate cohorts. The live record begins with production predictions issued by dc-1.2; development datasets and walk-forward backtests are labelled separately.

BTTS probability calibration

BTTS probabilities previously showed overconfidence (walk-forward calibration slope 0.557387). The active dc-1.2 model now applies a leakage-safe 52-week recalibration trained only on earlier out-of-sample predictions; its full walk-forward slope is 0.912419. This changes BTTS probabilities only, leaving 1X2, O/U 2.5, and score outputs unchanged.

Market benchmark

The reference scale above is historical and never pooled into the live record. WinSight and Bet365 use the exact same 16,322 fixtures and closing-price coverage; live bookmaker comparison will remain absent until it can be matched fixture by fixture.

How WinSight works

Terms

The four markets, explained

Compact tables retain common football abbreviations. Each market and its scoring rule are defined below.

Match result (1X2)
The result after regular time: home win, draw, or away win. “1”, “X”, and “2” are the compact labels for those three outcomes.
Total goals — over/under 2.5 (O/U 2.5)
Whether both teams combine for at least 3 goals, or finish with 0–2 goals.
Both teams to score (BTTS)
Whether each team scores at least once during the match.
Correct score
The exact final score. WinSight displays three likely scores for context, while the record scores only the Top 1 pick.
Read the football probability glossary