Next 7 days

Match predictions

Each probability comes from a Dixon–Coles model fit on more than 27,000 real matches, recalculated every day.

Track record

Every prediction, kept on record

Settled after each match · Public permanently · Never edited
All-time settled matches
490
Last updated
View the full record

Benchmarks

The same matches, measured against four benchmarks

2019/20–2025/26 · the same 16,322 matches with Bet365 closing data

Random pick of three33.3%
Always the home team43.0%
WinSight (walk-forward backtest)50.2%
Bet365 closing favourite52.4%

On the same 16,322 matches, WinSight trails Bet365 by 2.16 percentage points. Public forecasts rarely beat closing odds, and we make no such claim. These are backtest figures, not live results.

Product updates

Latest ·

More competitions, stronger models, the same public record

WinSight will keep improving without changing the standard you can audit.

  • We will continue training, backtesting and validating each model change before it becomes part of the live prediction system.
  • Coverage will expand in stages beyond the current seven competitions, with new product features added as their data and quality checks are ready.
  • Founding places are limited. Existing subscribers keep their current plan price while automatic renewal remains uninterrupted. If automatic renewal is cancelled or interrupted, a future subscription uses the price then available. Prices for new subscribers may rise as the product and models improve.
  • Published predictions, settled results and weekly reports will remain public, including forecasts that were wrong. Model versions stay separate so performance changes can be checked honestly.
See founding availability and subscription terms

About WinSight

Most prediction sites show you the times they were right. I wanted to build the opposite: publish the prediction for every match, settle it honestly once the match is over, and keep it on record — right or wrong — for anyone to check.

One thing worth stating plainly: I don't claim to beat the bookmakers. Closing odds already reflect almost everything the market knows, and no public forecaster reliably beats them. What I can do is keep the numbers honest and well-calibrated, and never edit or remove a result once it's published.

— Alex, WinSight