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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

Osasuna vs Espanol

Osasuna

vs

Espanol

Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:15:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

0–2

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZSat, 05 Sep 2026 22:25:26 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260907T081204ZMon, 07 Sep 2026 22:25:32 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:15:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 22:23:54 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
46%
Draw
28%
Away
26%

Picked Home · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

56%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

54%

No

46%

Picked Yes · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-113%
  2. #21-012%
  3. #30-09%
Score probability field for Osasuna versus Espanol

Picked 1-1 · Actual 0-2

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Osasuna

Last 5 overall

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 0.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

128 of 225

Defence rank

105 of 225

Model reference group: PD

Away team

Espanol

Last 5 overall

1W · 2D · 2L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

137 of 225

Defence rank

111 of 225

Model reference group: PD