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Informational only — not betting advice.
SA·Serie A

Udinese vs Lazio

Udinese

vs

Lazio

Mon, 07 Sep 2026 18:45:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–2

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Mon, 07 Sep 2026 18:45:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Mon, 07 Sep 2026 22:25:22 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
32%
Draw
29%
Away
39%

Picked Away · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

59%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

53%

No

47%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-114%
  2. #20-112%
  3. #30-010%
Score probability field for Udinese versus Lazio

Picked 1-1 · Actual 1-2

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Udinese

Last 5 overall

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 2D · 2L

5 matches · 0.6 scored · 0.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

109 of 225

Defence rank

120 of 225

Model reference group: SA

Away team

Lazio

Last 5 overall

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 0.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Away split

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

94 of 225

Defence rank

59 of 225

Model reference group: SA