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Informational only — not betting advice.
SA·Serie A

Cagliari vs Lecce

Cagliari

vs

Lecce

Mon, 07 Sep 2026 16:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–0

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Mon, 07 Sep 2026 16:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Mon, 07 Sep 2026 22:25:22 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
43%
Draw
31%
Away
26%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

66%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

50%

No

50%

Picked No · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

WIN
  1. #11-015%
  2. #21-114%
  3. #30-013%
Score probability field for Cagliari versus Lecce

Picked 1-0 · Actual 1-0

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Cagliari

Last 5 overall

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Home split

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

136 of 225

Defence rank

143 of 225

Model reference group: SA

Away team

Lecce

Last 5 overall

4W · 0D · 1L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Away split

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

183 of 225

Defence rank

122 of 225

Model reference group: SA