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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

Valencia vs Barcelona

Valencia

vs

Barcelona

Sun, 06 Sep 2026 14:15:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

0–5

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZMon, 31 Aug 2026 00:33:00 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 14:15:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 22:39:28 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%

Picked Away · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

39%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

58%

No

42%

Picked Yes · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-210%
  2. #20-210%
  3. #31-110%
Score probability field for Valencia versus Barcelona

Picked 1-2 · Actual 0-5

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Valencia

Last 5 overall

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 1.6 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 2D · 2L

5 matches · 0.8 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

132 of 225

Defence rank

81 of 225

Model reference group: PD

Away team

Barcelona

Last 5 overall

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 2.2 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Away split

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 2.0 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

8 of 225

Defence rank

36 of 225

Model reference group: PD