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Informational only — not betting advice.
SA·Serie A

Parma vs Monza

Parma

vs

Monza

Sun, 06 Sep 2026 13:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–1

Away cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZMon, 31 Aug 2026 00:33:00 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 13:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 22:39:28 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
45%
Draw
32%
Away
23%

Picked Home · Actual Draw

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

69%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

48%

No

52%

Picked No · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-016%
  2. #20-015%
  3. #31-113%
Score probability field for Parma versus Monza

Picked 1-0 · Actual 1-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Parma

Last 5 overall

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 0.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

179 of 225

Defence rank

108 of 225

Model reference group: SA

Away team

Monza

Cold start

Last 5 overall

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 2.6 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 0.6 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

181 of 225

Defence rank

178 of 225

Model reference group: SA