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Informational only — not betting advice.
BL1·Bundesliga

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig

Werder Bremen

vs

RB Leipzig

Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

3–1

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZSun, 30 Aug 2026 00:07:37 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 22:25:16 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
24%
Draw
24%
Away
52%

Picked Away · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

43%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

59%

No

41%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-111%
  2. #21-210%
  3. #30-19%
Score probability field for Werder Bremen versus RB Leipzig

Picked 1-1 · Actual 3-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Werder Bremen

Last 5 overall

0W · 1D · 4L

5 matches · 0.6 scored · 2.2 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

122 of 225

Defence rank

142 of 225

Model reference group: BL1

Away team

RB Leipzig

Last 5 overall

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 2.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Away split

2W · 0D · 3L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 2.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

40 of 225

Defence rank

64 of 225

Model reference group: BL1