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Informational only — not betting advice.
FL1·Ligue 1

Nice vs Le Mans

Nice

vs

Le Mans

Sat, 05 Sep 2026 18:45:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–1

Away cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZSun, 30 Aug 2026 00:07:37 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 18:45:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 22:25:16 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
54%
Draw
24%
Away
22%

Picked Home · Actual Draw

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

47%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

57%

No

43%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

WIN
  1. #11-112%
  2. #21-010%
  3. #32-110%
Score probability field for Nice versus Le Mans

Picked 1-1 · Actual 1-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Nice

Last 5 overall

0W · 3D · 2L

5 matches · 0.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Home split

0W · 4D · 1L

5 matches · 0.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

97 of 225

Defence rank

101 of 225

Model reference group: FL1

Away team

Le Mans

Cold start

Last 5 overall

0W · 1D · 1L

2 matches · 2.0 scored · 2.5 conceded per match

Away split

0W · 0D · 1L

1 matches · 2.0 scored · 3.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

130 of 225

Defence rank

168 of 225

Model reference group: FL1