1X2
Match result
Picked Home · Actual Home
Millwall
vsBolton
Final
4–0
Four markets
1X2
Picked Home · Actual Home
O/U 2.5
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5
BTTS
Yes
48%
No
52%
Picked No · Actual No
Correct score
Picked 1-0 · Actual 4-0
Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.
Evidence
Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.
Home team
Last 5 overall
3W · 1D · 1L
5 matches · 1.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per match
Home split
3W · 0D · 2L
5 matches · 1.8 scored · 0.8 conceded per match
Attack rank
90 of 225
Defence rank
53 of 225
Model reference group: ELC
Away team
Last 5 overall
1W · 1D · 3L
5 matches · 0.4 scored · 0.8 conceded per match
Away split
1W · 1D · 3L
5 matches · 0.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per match
Attack rank
164 of 225
Defence rank
52 of 225
Model reference group: ELC