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Informational only — not betting advice.
SA·Serie A

Inter vs Napoli

Inter

vs

Napoli

Sat, 05 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

3–2

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZSun, 30 Aug 2026 00:07:37 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 16:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 22:25:16 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
54%
Draw
25%
Away
21%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

49%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

56%

No

44%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-112%
  2. #21-011%
  3. #32-010%
Score probability field for Inter versus Napoli

Picked 1-1 · Actual 3-2

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Inter

Last 5 overall

3W · 2D · 0L

5 matches · 2.4 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Home split

4W · 1D · 0L

5 matches · 3.0 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

17 of 225

Defence rank

30 of 225

Model reference group: SA

Away team

Napoli

Last 5 overall

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Away split

3W · 2D · 0L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 0.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

61 of 225

Defence rank

43 of 225

Model reference group: SA