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Informational only — not betting advice.
PL·Premier League

Brentford vs Sunderland

Brentford

vs

Sunderland

Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–1

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZSun, 30 Aug 2026 00:07:37 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 22:25:16 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
56%
Draw
26%
Away
18%

Picked Home · Actual Draw

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

56%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

52%

No

48%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-014%
  2. #21-112%
  3. #32-012%
Score probability field for Brentford versus Sunderland

Picked 1-0 · Actual 1-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Brentford

Last 5 overall

1W · 3D · 1L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 3D · 0L

5 matches · 2.0 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

20 of 225

Defence rank

21 of 225

Model reference group: PL

Away team

Sunderland

Last 5 overall

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Away split

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 2.0 scored · 1.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

91 of 225

Defence rank

24 of 225

Model reference group: PL