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Informational only — not betting advice.
BL1·Bundesliga

Stuttgart vs FC Koln

Stuttgart

vs

FC Koln

Fri, 04 Sep 2026 18:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

4–1

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZSat, 29 Aug 2026 03:40:52 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Fri, 04 Sep 2026 18:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 07:22:18 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
66%
Draw
18%
Away
16%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

73%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

27%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

63%

No

37%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #12-19%
  2. #23-18%
  3. #32-07%
Score probability field for Stuttgart versus FC Koln

Picked 2-1 · Actual 4-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Stuttgart

Last 5 overall

1W · 3D · 1L

5 matches · 2.0 scored · 2.4 conceded per match

Home split

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

27 of 225

Defence rank

105 of 225

Model reference group: BL1

Away team

FC Koln

Last 5 overall

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 2.8 conceded per match

Away split

0W · 4D · 1L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 2.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

82 of 225

Defence rank

156 of 225

Model reference group: BL1