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Informational only — not betting advice.
PL·Premier League

Ipswich vs Liverpool

Ipswich

vs

Liverpool

Fri, 04 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

0–2

Home cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZSat, 29 Aug 2026 03:40:52 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Fri, 04 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 07:22:18 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
22%
Draw
22%
Away
56%

Picked Away · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

39%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

60%

No

40%

Picked Yes · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-110%
  2. #21-210%
  3. #30-28%
Score probability field for Ipswich versus Liverpool

Picked 1-1 · Actual 0-2

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Ipswich

Cold start

Last 5 overall

2W · 2D · 1L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 1.6 conceded per match

Home split

3W · 2D · 0L

5 matches · 2.0 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

54 of 225

Defence rank

62 of 225

Model reference group: PL

Away team

Liverpool

Last 5 overall

0W · 4D · 1L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 2.4 conceded per match

Attack rank

9 of 225

Defence rank

15 of 225

Model reference group: PL