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Informational only — not betting advice.
SA·Serie A

Genoa vs Como

Genoa

vs

Como

Fri, 04 Sep 2026 18:45:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–4

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZSat, 29 Aug 2026 03:40:52 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Fri, 04 Sep 2026 18:45:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 07:22:18 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
19%
Draw
26%
Away
55%

Picked Away · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

56%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

53%

No

47%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #10-114%
  2. #21-112%
  3. #30-211%
Score probability field for Genoa versus Como

Picked 0-1 · Actual 1-4

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Genoa

Last 5 overall

0W · 1D · 4L

5 matches · 0.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 0.6 scored · 1.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

143 of 225

Defence rank

116 of 225

Model reference group: SA

Away team

Como

Last 5 overall

4W · 1D · 0L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 0.6 conceded per match

Away split

4W · 1D · 0L

5 matches · 2.0 scored · 0.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

45 of 225

Defence rank

40 of 225

Model reference group: SA