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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

Betis vs Real Madrid

Betis

vs

Real Madrid

Fri, 04 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–0

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZSat, 29 Aug 2026 03:40:52 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Fri, 04 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 07:22:18 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
24%
Draw
23%
Away
53%

Picked Away · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

40%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

60%

No

40%

Picked Yes · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-111%
  2. #21-210%
  3. #30-18%
Score probability field for Betis versus Real Madrid

Picked 1-1 · Actual 1-0

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Betis

Last 5 overall

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.8 conceded per match

Home split

4W · 1D · 0L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 0.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

67 of 225

Defence rank

78 of 225

Model reference group: PD

Away team

Real Madrid

Last 5 overall

5W · 0D · 0L

5 matches · 3.0 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Away split

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

15 of 225

Defence rank

20 of 225

Model reference group: PD