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Informational only — not betting advice.
ELC·Championship

Preston vs Bristol City

Preston

vs

Bristol City

Tue, 01 Sep 2026 18:45:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–3

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZTue, 25 Aug 2026 22:26:00 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZFri, 28 Aug 2026 17:38:44 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260831T093750ZTue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:43 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Tue, 01 Sep 2026 18:45:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Wed, 02 Sep 2026 00:06:54 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
36%
Draw
28%
Away
36%

Picked Away · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

55%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

55%

No

45%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-113%
  2. #20-110%
  3. #31-010%
Score probability field for Preston versus Bristol City

Picked 1-1 · Actual 1-3

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Preston

Last 5 overall

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 2.2 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

134 of 225

Defence rank

138 of 225

Model reference group: ELC

Away team

Bristol City

Last 5 overall

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 3D · 1L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Attack rank

107 of 225

Defence rank

100 of 225

Model reference group: ELC