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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

Osasuna vs Getafe

Osasuna

vs

Getafe

Mon, 31 Aug 2026 17:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–0

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZTue, 25 Aug 2026 22:26:00 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZFri, 28 Aug 2026 17:38:44 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Mon, 31 Aug 2026 17:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Tue, 01 Sep 2026 11:36:17 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
43%
Draw
34%
Away
24%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

26%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

74%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

46%

No

54%

Picked No · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #10-018%
  2. #21-017%
  3. #31-113%
Score probability field for Osasuna versus Getafe

Picked 0-0 · Actual 1-0

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Osasuna

Last 5 overall

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 0.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Attack rank

120 of 222

Defence rank

77 of 222

Model reference group: PD

Away team

Getafe

Last 5 overall

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 0.2 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

182 of 222

Defence rank

40 of 222

Model reference group: PD