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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

La Coruna vs Valencia

La Coruna

vs

Valencia

Sun, 30 Aug 2026 17:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

3–1

Home cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSun, 23 Aug 2026 22:21:09 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZFri, 28 Aug 2026 17:38:44 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 17:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Tue, 01 Sep 2026 01:17:33 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
33%
Draw
30%
Away
37%

Picked Away · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

62%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

52%

No

48%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-114%
  2. #20-112%
  3. #30-011%
Score probability field for La Coruna versus Valencia

Picked 1-1 · Actual 3-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

La Coruna

Cold start

Last 5 overall

0W · 3D · 2L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 1.8 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 2D · 2L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 2.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

166 of 222

Defence rank

139 of 222

Model reference group: PD

Away team

Valencia

Last 5 overall

2W · 2D · 1L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Away split

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

128 of 222

Defence rank

81 of 222

Model reference group: PD