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Informational only — not betting advice.
BL1·Bundesliga

Augsburg vs Schalke 04

Augsburg

vs

Schalke 04

Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

3–0

Away cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSun, 23 Aug 2026 22:21:09 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZFri, 28 Aug 2026 17:38:44 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Mon, 31 Aug 2026 00:32:49 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
48%
Draw
27%
Away
26%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

52%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

55%

No

45%

Picked Yes · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-113%
  2. #21-011%
  3. #32-19%
Score probability field for Augsburg versus Schalke 04

Picked 1-1 · Actual 3-0

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Augsburg

Last 5 overall

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 1.6 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 2D · 1L

5 matches · 2.0 scored · 1.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

99 of 222

Defence rank

122 of 222

Model reference group: BL1

Away team

Schalke 04

Cold start

Last 5 overall

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 3.0 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 3.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

131 of 222

Defence rank

139 of 222

Model reference group: BL1