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Informational only — not betting advice.
PL·Premier League

Tottenham vs Newcastle

Tottenham

vs

Newcastle

Sat, 29 Aug 2026 16:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

0–2

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSat, 22 Aug 2026 22:21:50 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZFri, 28 Aug 2026 17:38:44 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 16:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 00:07:29 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
37%
Draw
24%
Away
39%

Picked Away · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

37%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

62%

No

38%

Picked Yes · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-111%
  2. #21-28%
  3. #32-18%
Score probability field for Tottenham versus Newcastle

Picked 1-1 · Actual 0-2

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Tottenham

Last 5 overall

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 2D · 1L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

25 of 222

Defence rank

51 of 222

Model reference group: PL

Away team

Newcastle

Last 5 overall

2W · 2D · 1L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Away split

0W · 1D · 4L

5 matches · 0.8 scored · 2.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

11 of 222

Defence rank

33 of 222

Model reference group: PL