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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

Santander vs Elche

Santander

vs

Elche

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 17:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

3–2

Home cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZFri, 21 Aug 2026 22:23:13 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 17:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 12:35:48 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
38%
Draw
28%
Away
33%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

56%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

54%

No

46%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-113%
  2. #21-011%
  3. #30-110%
Score probability field for Santander versus Elche

Picked 1-1 · Actual 3-2

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Santander

Cold start

Last 5 overall

0W · 1D · 0L

1 matches · 2.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Home split

0W · 1D · 0L

1 matches · 2.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

160 of 204

Defence rank

102 of 204

Model reference group: PD

Away team

Elche

Last 5 overall

1W · 3D · 1L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 2D · 2L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 1.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

90 of 204

Defence rank

125 of 204

Model reference group: PD