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Informational only — not betting advice.
SA·Serie A

Milan vs Venezia

Milan

vs

Venezia

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 18:45:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

2–0

Away cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZFri, 21 Aug 2026 22:23:13 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZFri, 28 Aug 2026 17:38:44 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 18:45:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 03:40:42 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
71%
Draw
19%
Away
9%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

50%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

49%

No

51%

Picked No · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

WIN
  1. #12-015%
  2. #21-014%
  3. #33-010%
Score probability field for Milan versus Venezia

Picked 2-0 · Actual 2-0

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Milan

Last 5 overall

2W · 0D · 3L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.8 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

60 of 222

Defence rank

52 of 222

Model reference group: SA

Away team

Venezia

Cold start

Last 5 overall

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Away split

0W · 4D · 1L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

193 of 222

Defence rank

172 of 222

Model reference group: SA