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Informational only — not betting advice.
BL1·Bundesliga

Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart

Bayern Munich

vs

Stuttgart

Fri, 28 Aug 2026 18:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

5–1

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZFri, 21 Aug 2026 22:23:13 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260828T173552ZFri, 28 Aug 2026 17:38:44 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 18:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 12:35:48 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
76%
Draw
13%
Away
11%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

84%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

16%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

65%

No

35%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #13-18%
  2. #22-17%
  3. #34-16%
Score probability field for Bayern Munich versus Stuttgart

Picked 3-1 · Actual 5-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Bayern Munich

Last 5 overall

2W · 2D · 1L

5 matches · 2.8 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Home split

3W · 2D · 0L

5 matches · 3.4 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

3 of 222

Defence rank

30 of 222

Model reference group: BL1

Away team

Stuttgart

Last 5 overall

1W · 3D · 1L

5 matches · 2.2 scored · 2.2 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 3D · 1L

5 matches · 2.8 scored · 2.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

23 of 222

Defence rank

79 of 222

Model reference group: BL1