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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

Celta vs Osasuna

Celta

vs

Osasuna

Thu, 27 Aug 2026 18:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–2

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260803T062200ZSun, 09 Aug 2026 22:29:55 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZMon, 10 Aug 2026 22:36:31 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Thu, 27 Aug 2026 18:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 05:59:07 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
51%
Draw
26%
Away
23%

Picked Home · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

51%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

55%

No

45%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-112%
  2. #21-011%
  3. #32-110%
Score probability field for Celta versus Osasuna

Picked 1-1 · Actual 1-2

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Celta

Last 5 overall

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 0D · 3L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 2.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

60 of 204

Defence rank

65 of 204

Model reference group: PD

Away team

Osasuna

Last 5 overall

0W · 0D · 5L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Away split

0W · 1D · 4L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

110 of 204

Defence rank

66 of 204

Model reference group: PD