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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

Valencia vs Betis

Valencia

vs

Betis

Tue, 25 Aug 2026 19:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

0–1

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZTue, 18 Aug 2026 22:23:09 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Tue, 25 Aug 2026 19:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Tue, 25 Aug 2026 22:25:52 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
37%
Draw
27%
Away
36%

Picked Home · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

51%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

56%

No

44%

Picked Yes · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-113%
  2. #21-09%
  3. #30-19%
Score probability field for Valencia versus Betis

Picked 1-1 · Actual 0-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Valencia

Last 5 overall

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 1.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

103 of 204

Defence rank

79 of 204

Model reference group: PD

Away team

Betis

Last 5 overall

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 2.0 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 2D · 2L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

47 of 204

Defence rank

55 of 204

Model reference group: PD