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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

Malaga vs La Coruna

Malaga

vs

La Coruna

Mon, 24 Aug 2026 19:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–1

Both cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZMon, 17 Aug 2026 22:22:49 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Mon, 24 Aug 2026 19:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Tue, 25 Aug 2026 06:34:02 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
42%
Draw
31%
Away
27%

Picked Home · Actual Draw

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

66%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

50%

No

50%

Picked No · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-014%
  2. #21-114%
  3. #30-013%
Score probability field for Malaga versus La Coruna

Picked 1-0 · Actual 1-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Malaga

Cold start

Last 5 overall

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 0.8 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 0D · 3L

5 matches · 0.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

160 of 204

Defence rank

102 of 204

Model reference group: PD

Away team

La Coruna

Cold start

Last 5 overall

0W · 2D · 3L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 2.4 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 2D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

160 of 204

Defence rank

102 of 204

Model reference group: PD