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Informational only — not betting advice.
ELC·Championship

West Brom vs Burnley

West Brom

vs

Burnley

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 11:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

3–1

Away cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSun, 16 Aug 2026 22:20:10 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 11:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 22:21:02 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

59%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

53%

No

47%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-113%
  2. #21-012%
  3. #30-010%
Score probability field for West Brom versus Burnley

Picked 1-1 · Actual 3-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

West Brom

Last 5 overall

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 0.6 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 3D · 0L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 0.4 conceded per match

Attack rank

151 of 204

Defence rank

103 of 204

Model reference group: ELC

Away team

Burnley

Cold start

Last 5 overall

0W · 3D · 2L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 1.8 conceded per match

Away split

0W · 0D · 5L

5 matches · 0.6 scored · 2.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

129 of 204

Defence rank

151 of 204

Model reference group: ELC