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Informational only — not betting advice.
SA·Serie A

Venezia vs Lecce

Venezia

vs

Lecce

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 16:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

0–2

Home cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSun, 16 Aug 2026 22:20:10 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 16:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 22:21:02 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
31%
Draw
34%
Away
35%

Picked Away · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

27%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

73%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

47%

No

53%

Picked No · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #10-017%
  2. #20-115%
  3. #31-114%
Score probability field for Venezia versus Lecce

Picked 0-0 · Actual 0-2

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Venezia

Cold start

Last 5 overall

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 0D · 3L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Attack rank

186 of 204

Defence rank

176 of 204

Model reference group: SA

Away team

Lecce

Last 5 overall

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Away split

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

184 of 204

Defence rank

120 of 204

Model reference group: SA