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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

Getafe vs Santander

Getafe

vs

Santander

Sun, 23 Aug 2026 17:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–0

Away cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSun, 16 Aug 2026 22:20:10 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 17:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 22:21:02 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
44%
Draw
34%
Away
22%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

24%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

76%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

45%

No

55%

Picked No · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #10-019%
  2. #21-019%
  3. #31-113%
Score probability field for Getafe versus Santander

Picked 0-0 · Actual 1-0

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Getafe

Last 5 overall

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 0.8 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Home split

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

178 of 204

Defence rank

24 of 204

Model reference group: PD

Away team

Santander

Cold start

Last 5 overall

0W · 1D · 0L

1 matches · 2.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Away split

0W · 0D · 0L

0 matches · — scored · — conceded per match

Attack rank

160 of 204

Defence rank

102 of 204

Model reference group: PD