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Informational only — not betting advice.
SA·Serie A

Udinese vs Como

Udinese

vs

Como

Sat, 22 Aug 2026 16:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–1

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSat, 15 Aug 2026 22:20:20 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 16:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 22:21:39 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
21%
Draw
26%
Away
52%

Picked Away · Actual Draw

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

55%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

53%

No

47%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #10-113%
  2. #21-112%
  3. #30-210%
Score probability field for Udinese versus Como

Picked 0-1 · Actual 1-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Udinese

Last 5 overall

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 0.4 scored · 0.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

106 of 204

Defence rank

112 of 204

Model reference group: SA

Away team

Como

Last 5 overall

4W · 1D · 0L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 0.2 conceded per match

Away split

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.6 scored · 0.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

32 of 204

Defence rank

27 of 204

Model reference group: SA