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Informational only — not betting advice.
SA·Serie A

Inter vs Monza

Inter

vs

Monza

Sat, 22 Aug 2026 16:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

4–1

Away cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSat, 15 Aug 2026 22:20:20 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 16:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 22:21:39 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
86%
Draw
11%
Away
4%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

33%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

48%

No

52%

Picked No · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #12-014%
  2. #23-013%
  3. #34-010%
Score probability field for Inter versus Monza

Picked 2-0 · Actual 4-1

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Inter

Last 5 overall

2W · 3D · 0L

5 matches · 2.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Home split

3W · 2D · 0L

5 matches · 2.4 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

7 of 204

Defence rank

21 of 204

Model reference group: SA

Away team

Monza

Cold start

Last 5 overall

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 0.6 scored · 2.4 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 0.4 scored · 1.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

186 of 204

Defence rank

176 of 204

Model reference group: SA