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Informational only — not betting advice.
PL·Premier League

Hull vs Man United

Hull

vs

Man United

Sat, 22 Aug 2026 11:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

2–0

Home cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSat, 15 Aug 2026 22:20:20 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 11:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 22:21:39 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
25%
Draw
24%
Away
51%

Picked Away · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

44%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Under 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

58%

No

42%

Picked Yes · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-111%
  2. #21-210%
  3. #30-19%
Score probability field for Hull versus Man United

Picked 1-1 · Actual 2-0

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Hull

Cold start

Last 5 overall

1W · 2D · 2L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 2D · 1L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

129 of 204

Defence rank

156 of 204

Model reference group: PL

Away team

Man United

Last 5 overall

4W · 1D · 0L

5 matches · 2.2 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Away split

2W · 2D · 1L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

37 of 204

Defence rank

97 of 204

Model reference group: PL