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Informational only — not betting advice.
PL·Premier League

Brentford vs Tottenham

Brentford

vs

Tottenham

Sat, 22 Aug 2026 16:30:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

3–0

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSat, 15 Aug 2026 22:20:20 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 16:30:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 22:21:39 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

WIN
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%

Picked Home · Actual Home

O/U 2.5

Total goals

WIN

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

39%

Picked Over 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

LOSS

Yes

60%

No

40%

Picked Yes · Actual No

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-111%
  2. #22-19%
  3. #31-27%
Score probability field for Brentford versus Tottenham

Picked 1-1 · Actual 3-0

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Brentford

Last 5 overall

1W · 2D · 2L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per match

Home split

1W · 4D · 0L

5 matches · 1.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

49 of 204

Defence rank

115 of 204

Model reference group: PL

Away team

Tottenham

Last 5 overall

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Away split

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

50 of 204

Defence rank

136 of 204

Model reference group: PL