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Informational only — not betting advice.
PD·La Liga

Ath Bilbao vs Sevilla

Ath Bilbao

vs

Sevilla

Sat, 22 Aug 2026 15:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

1–3

First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZSat, 15 Aug 2026 22:20:20 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 15:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 22:21:39 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
51%
Draw
26%
Away
23%

Picked Home · Actual Away

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

54%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

54%

No

46%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-113%
  2. #21-012%
  3. #32-010%
Score probability field for Ath Bilbao versus Sevilla

Picked 1-1 · Actual 1-3

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Ath Bilbao

Last 5 overall

1W · 1D · 3L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 2.0 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 1D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.0 conceded per match

Attack rank

97 of 204

Defence rank

56 of 204

Model reference group: PD

Away team

Sevilla

Last 5 overall

3W · 0D · 2L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Away split

1W · 0D · 4L

5 matches · 0.8 scored · 1.6 conceded per match

Attack rank

113 of 204

Defence rank

116 of 204

Model reference group: PD