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Informational only — not betting advice.
ELC·Championship

Wolves vs Blackburn

Wolves

vs

Blackburn

Fri, 14 Aug 2026 19:00:00 GMT·Post-match review

Final

2–2

Home cold start
First published
Model dc-1.2-r20260803T062200ZFri, 07 Aug 2026 22:33:38 GMT
Model dc-1.2-r20260810T042826ZMon, 10 Aug 2026 22:36:31 GMT
Locked at kick-off
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 19:00:00 GMT
Settled after the final whistle
Sat, 15 Aug 2026 06:24:20 GMT

Four markets

Probability view

1X2

Match result

LOSS
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
27%

Picked Home · Actual Draw

O/U 2.5

Total goals

LOSS

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

Probabilities describe model uncertainty, not certainty. Correct-score settlement uses the Top 1 pick. Predictions are informational only and are not betting advice.

62%

Picked Under 2.5 · Actual Over 2.5

BTTS

Both teams to score

WIN

Yes

51%

No

49%

Picked Yes · Actual Yes

Correct score

Top 3

LOSS
  1. #11-114%
  2. #21-013%
  3. #30-011%
Score probability field for Wolves versus Blackburn

Picked 1-1 · Actual 2-2

Top 3 displayed picks are shown for context; settlement uses the Top 1 pick.

Evidence

Why the model leaned this way

Inputs locked before kickoff: recent WDL, average goals for and against, home/away splits, and model attack/defence ranks.

Home team

Wolves

Cold start

Last 5 overall

0W · 3D · 2L

5 matches · 0.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Home split

2W · 2D · 1L

5 matches · 1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per match

Attack rank

120 of 204

Defence rank

151 of 204

Model reference group: ELC

Away team

Blackburn

Last 5 overall

1W · 2D · 2L

5 matches · 1.0 scored · 1.4 conceded per match

Away split

3W · 1D · 1L

5 matches · 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per match

Attack rank

171 of 204

Defence rank

108 of 204

Model reference group: ELC